Will household electricity prices in PJM's nine states rise at least 4 points more than in the other 42 states through August 2026?
The price is residential revenue divided by residential sales over September 2025 to August 2026, against September 2024 to August 2025, for each of the 51 jurisdictions, as the Part computes it for the year to July (11. U.S. Energy Information Administration, EIA-861M monthly sales and revenue (first release of the month tested)
The exact question and the full rule
In the EIA-861M data through August 2026, as first published, is the median twelve-month change in the average household price per kilowatt-hour across the nine jurisdictions PJM serves (Delaware, the District of Columbia, Illinois, Maryland, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, West Virginia) at least four percentage points above the median change across the other 42?
The price is residential revenue divided by residential sales over September 2025 to August 2026, against September 2024 to August 2025, for each of the 51 jurisdictions, as the Part computes it for the year to July (11.7% against 5.6%). The answer is yes if the PJM median minus the median of the other 42 is 4.0 points or more; no if it is below 4.0 points.
If the source is late or silent: Data for August not published by November 15, 2026 is inconclusive. Figures are read as first published in that release; later revisions do not reopen the test. If EIA withholds the residential figures for more than two of the nine PJM jurisdictions, the test is inconclusive, and the Result says what was read and what was missing.
The load pays its way
Yes: PJM's data center boom and capacity auction costs are pushing its household power prices up far faster than the rest of the country.
The bill no state can shield
No: rising power costs are now a national trend, so PJM's states are not pulling meaningfully ahead of the other 42.
Closed: the date has passed.