Will the EIA say Brent crude averaged above $105 a barrel in the fourth quarter of 2026?
Yes if the January 2027 Short Term Energy Outlook reports the fourth quarter 2026 Brent crude spot average above 105 dollars per barrel. U.S. Energy Information Administration, Short-Term Energy Outlook, January 2027 release (energy prices table, quarterly Brent spot average), scheduled for January 12, 2027
The exact question and the full rule
Does the U.S. Energy Information Administration's Short-Term Energy Outlook of January 2027 put the average Brent crude oil spot price for the fourth quarter of 2026 above $105 a barrel?
Read the fourth-quarter 2026 Brent spot average, in dollars per barrel, from the energy prices table of the January 2027 Short-Term Energy Outlook, where the quarter is history. The answer is yes if it is above $105.00; no if it is $105.00 or below. The outlook's forecasts for 2027, futures prices and prices reported in the press are read alongside and do not decide the test.
If the source is late or silent: The EIA schedules the January outlook for January 12, 2027. If it is not published by January 19, 2027, or its energy prices table does not give the fourth quarter of 2026, the test is inconclusive, and the Result says what was read and what was missing; the next reading is the February outlook, scheduled for February 9, 2027, which also carries the quarter as history. Figures are read as first published in the release read.
The boom pays the rate
Strong global growth keeps oil demand and prices firm, supporting a fourth-quarter Brent average above $105.
The two shocks compound
Supply strain and high demand push Brent above $105, feeding into inflation and pressuring the Fed to hike.
No position, no money. The crowd, the Call and the machines appear after you lock your number.