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Semiconductors · Thesis 16 · settles Dec 9 · 47 days · rung 1/3

Did Broadcom's revenue grow 82 percent or more from a year earlier in the quarter ended November 1, 2026?

How it settles

Yes if Broadcom's revenue for the quarter ended November 1, 2026 is 82.0 percent or more above the quarter ended November 2, 2025, as filed on SEC EDGAR, no if below. SEC EDGAR, XBRL company facts of Broadcom (Forms 10-Q and 10-K)

The exact question and the full rule

Did the revenue of Broadcom for the quarter ended November 1, 2026 grow at or above 82.0% from the quarter ended November 2, 2025?

Compare the revenue that Broadcom reports for the quarter ended November 1, 2026 with the quarter ended November 2, 2025, in its 10-Q or 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR. The answer is yes if growth is at or above 82.0%; no if it is below 82.0%.

If the source is late or silent: If Broadcom has not filed by January 7, 2027, or a filing restates a period the rule reads, the test is inconclusive, and the Result says what was read and what was missing.

If no

The case against it

No, demand cools or shifts back toward merchant GPUs, leaving growth under 82 percent.

If yes

Custom silicon takes share from merchant GPUs

Yes, custom AI chip demand keeps accelerating as hyperscalers scale up their own silicon programs.

50%
NoYes

No position, no money. The crowd, the Call and the machines appear after you lock your number.

The case · 5 people · 2 minutes
The case against it2 people argue noCustom silicon takes share from merchant GPUs3 people argue yes
Stronger if no · 2 people

The case against it

GaetanoMar 31

By investing in and integrating component suppliers like Marvell across custom silicon, scale-up networking, and photonic fabric, Nvidia ensures downstream AI infrastructure remains dependent on Nvidia rails regardless of customer preferences for…

Stronger if yes · 3 people

Custom silicon takes share from merchant GPUs

Hf Best IdeasAug 12

Baron points to a Google agreement through 2031, larger planned compute at Anthropic, OpenAI's first inference chip taped out in nine months toward a 10 gigawatt build, Meta's continued investment posture and a multi-year Apple agreement, alongside…

What would change the Call
  • Broadcom's reported revenue for this quarter versus the year-ago quarter, filed on SEC EDGAR, sets the growth rate and the call.
The Call · Thesis 16

The house has not taken a side.

The dossier · 5 minutes
The machines' reasons

3 models ran this one. Their numbers and reasons appear after you lock yours.

The thesis

Will Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue for fiscal 2027 (ending ~Oct/Nov 2027), as reported in its quarterly and annual results, exceed $60 billion?

Hyperscaler custom accelerator programs scale fast enough that the leading custom-silicon designer's AI revenue triples from roughly $20B in FY25 to above $60B by FY27, evidencing real share capture from merchant GPUs.