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Hyperscalers & cloud · Thesis 28 · settles Nov 9 · 17 days · rung 3/3

Did CoreWeave spend at least 280 percent of its revenue on property and equipment in the quarter ended September 30, 2026?

How it settles

Yes if CoreWeave's purchases of property and equipment divided by revenue for the quarter ended September 30, 2026 is at or above 280.0 percent, per its 10-Q or 10-K on SEC EDGAR. SEC EDGAR, XBRL company facts of CoreWeave (Forms 10-Q and 10-K)

The exact question and the full rule

Did the purchases of property and equipment of CoreWeave for the quarter ended September 30, 2026 come to at or above 280.0% of its revenue?

Divide the purchases of property and equipment by the revenue that CoreWeave reports for the quarter ended September 30, 2026 in its 10-Q or 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR. The answer is yes if the ratio is at or above 280.0%; no if it is below 280.0%.

If the source is late or silent: If CoreWeave has not filed by November 16, 2026, or a filing restates a period the rule reads, the test is inconclusive, and the Result says what was read and what was missing.

If no

Cloud revenue growth pays for the capex

Yes if CoreWeave keeps ramping capacity hard, pushing spending to 280 percent or more of revenue.

If yes

Depreciation catches up with cloud revenue growth

No if revenue catches up or spending eases, keeping the ratio below 280 percent.

50%
NoYes

No position, no money. The crowd, the Call and the machines appear after you lock your number.

The case · 7 people · 2 minutes
Cloud revenue growth pays for the capex6 people argue noDepreciation catches up with cloud revenue growth1 people argue yes
Stronger if no · 6 people

Cloud revenue growth pays for the capex

Hf Best IdeasAug 5

The fund's argument is that heavy build-out depresses free cash flow during construction, and the test is not the cash flow line but whether the finished asset becomes infrastructure competitors must pay to use; Cloud growth, margin expansion and…

Stronger if yes · 1 people

Depreciation catches up with cloud revenue growth

Ed ElsonJul 7

Circular AI revenue dependent on subsidised buyers

What would change the Call
  • CoreWeave's reported property and equipment purchases and revenue for the quarter in its SEC filing would move the call.
The Call · Thesis 28

The house has not taken a side.

The dossier · 5 minutes
The machines' reasons

2 models ran this one. Their numbers and reasons appear after you lock yours.

The thesis

Will cloud revenue growth at Microsoft, Google, and AWS outpace their combined depreciation growth near Q3 2027?

Record spending on AI data centers is pushing up depreciation costs. The question is whether cloud revenue is growing even faster.