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Hyperscalers & cloud · Thesis 28 · settles Dec 14 · 52 days · rung 1/3

Did Oracle spend at least 110 percent of its revenue on property and equipment in the quarter ended November 30, 2026?

How it settles

Yes if Oracle's purchases of property and equipment divided by revenue for the quarter ended November 30, 2026 is at or above 110.0 percent, per its 10-Q or 10-K on SEC EDGAR. SEC EDGAR, XBRL company facts of Oracle (Forms 10-Q and 10-K)

The exact question and the full rule

Did the purchases of property and equipment of Oracle for the quarter ended November 30, 2026 come to at or above 110.0% of its revenue?

Divide the purchases of property and equipment by the revenue that Oracle reports for the quarter ended November 30, 2026 in its 10-Q or 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR. The answer is yes if the ratio is at or above 110.0%; no if it is below 110.0%.

If the source is late or silent: If Oracle has not filed by January 18, 2027, or a filing restates a period the rule reads, the test is inconclusive, and the Result says what was read and what was missing.

If no

Cloud revenue growth pays for the capex

Yes if Oracle keeps building cloud capacity fast, keeping spending at 110 percent or more of revenue.

If yes

Depreciation catches up with cloud revenue growth

No if revenue grows faster than spending or capex slows, pulling the ratio below 110 percent.

50%
NoYes

No position, no money. The crowd, the Call and the machines appear after you lock your number.

The case · 7 people · 2 minutes
Cloud revenue growth pays for the capex6 people argue noDepreciation catches up with cloud revenue growth1 people argue yes
Stronger if no · 6 people

Cloud revenue growth pays for the capex

Hf Best IdeasAug 5

The fund's argument is that heavy build-out depresses free cash flow during construction, and the test is not the cash flow line but whether the finished asset becomes infrastructure competitors must pay to use; Cloud growth, margin expansion and…

Stronger if yes · 1 people

Depreciation catches up with cloud revenue growth

Ed ElsonJul 7

Circular AI revenue dependent on subsidised buyers

What would change the Call
  • Oracle's reported property and equipment purchases and revenue for the quarter in its SEC filing would move the call.
The Call · Thesis 28

The house has not taken a side.

The dossier · 5 minutes
The machines' reasons

2 models ran this one. Their numbers and reasons appear after you lock yours.

The thesis

Will cloud revenue growth at Microsoft, Google, and AWS outpace their combined depreciation growth near Q3 2027?

Record spending on AI data centers is pushing up depreciation costs. The question is whether cloud revenue is growing even faster.