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Hyperscalers & cloud · Thesis 31 · settles Nov 9 · 17 days · rung 3/3

Will CoreWeave's operating cash flow reach 34 percent or more of its revenue for the quarter ending September 2026?

How it settles

Divide net cash from operating activities by revenue from CoreWeave's 10-Q or 10-K for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, on SEC EDGAR. Yes if the ratio is at or above 34.0 percent, no if below. SEC EDGAR, XBRL company facts of CoreWeave (Forms 10-Q and 10-K)

The exact question and the full rule

Did the net cash from operating activities of CoreWeave for the quarter ended September 30, 2026 come to at or above 34.0% of its revenue?

Divide the net cash from operating activities by the revenue that CoreWeave reports for the quarter ended September 30, 2026 in its 10-Q or 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR. The answer is yes if the ratio is at or above 34.0%; no if it is below 34.0%.

If the source is late or silent: If CoreWeave has not filed by November 16, 2026, or a filing restates a period the rule reads, the test is inconclusive, and the Result says what was read and what was missing.

If no

Depreciation compresses margins

Yes: CoreWeave's cash generation jumps well past its last quarter's 26 percent pace on strong revenue growth.

If yes

The case against it

No: CoreWeave's operating cash flow stays below 34 percent of revenue, short of a major jump from the last quarter.

50%
NoYes

No position, no money. The crowd, the Call and the machines appear after you lock your number.

The case · 4 people · 2 minutes
Depreciation compresses margins3 people argue noThe case against it1 people argue yes
Stronger if no · 3 people

Depreciation compresses margins

KakashiiAug 25

Nebius's financial reporting excludes GPU depreciation from cost of revenues, instead showing it separately. With 60 percent of GPU inventory idle, depreciation on deployed assets remains artificially low. When depreciation and product development…

Stronger if yes · 1 people

The case against it

Hyperscalers are pulling levers on depreciation by extending useful life and shifting finance leases to operating leases, which cuts reported capex by roughly 15 billion. These choices are not improper but mean reported profitability is partly…

What would change the Call
  • The actual net cash from operating activities and revenue figures CoreWeave reports for the September 2026 quarter would move this number.
The Call · Thesis 31 · Depreciation compresses margins

The house leans to "Depreciation compresses margins".

The dossier · 5 minutes
The machines' reasons

2 models ran this one. Their numbers and reasons appear after you lock yours.

The thesis

Will D&A as a share of revenue rise year-over-year for at least 3 of 4 big hyperscalers in Q3 2027 vs Q3 2026?

Years of heavy AI infrastructure spending are moving from construction into active use, and depreciation is catching up with that spending curve.