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Semiconductors · Thesis 60 · settles Dec 9 · 47 days · rung 3/3

Will Broadcom's gross profit for the quarter ended November 1, 2026 be at least 70.5 percent of its revenue?

How it settles

Divide gross profit by revenue in Broadcom's 10-Q or 10-K for the quarter ended November 1, 2026, on SEC EDGAR. Yes if the ratio is at or above 70.5 percent. SEC EDGAR, XBRL company facts of Broadcom (Forms 10-Q and 10-K)

The exact question and the full rule

Did the gross profit of Broadcom for the quarter ended November 1, 2026 come to at or above 70.5% of its revenue?

Divide the gross profit by the revenue that Broadcom reports for the quarter ended November 1, 2026 in its 10-Q or 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR. The answer is yes if the ratio is at or above 70.5%; no if it is below 70.5%.

If the source is late or silent: If Broadcom has not filed by January 7, 2027, or a filing restates a period the rule reads, the test is inconclusive, and the Result says what was read and what was missing.

If no

Custom silicon takes share from merchant GPUs

Yes if custom silicon demand and AWS's push for cheaper in-house chips keep Broadcom's mix rich enough to hold margin up.

If yes

Nvidia's platform lock-in keeps custom silicon from showing up in disclosures

No if Nvidia's platform lock-in keeps buyers on merchant GPUs, leaving Broadcom's product mix lighter and margin below the line.

50%
NoYes

No position, no money. The crowd, the Call and the machines appear after you lock your number.

The case · 6 people · 2 minutes
Custom silicon takes share from merchant GPUs3 people argue noNvidia's platform lock-in keeps custom silicon from showing up in disclosures3 people argue yes
Stronger if no · 3 people

Custom silicon takes share from merchant GPUs

Invest in AssetsAug 11

Custom silicon adoption as switching cost

Stronger if yes · 3 people

Nvidia's platform lock-in keeps custom silicon from showing up in disclosures

Bryan ShanAug 10

Fungibility beats architectural purity in procurement

What would change the Call
  • A shift in chip product mix, a one-time charge, or a reclassified cost line in the 10-Q would move the reported ratio.
The Call · Thesis 60

The house has not taken a side.

The dossier · 5 minutes
The machines' reasons

2 models ran this one. Their numbers and reasons appear after you lock yours.

The thesis

Will Amazon disclose by 2027-12-31 that its own AI chips lead a named AWS AI workload, or that AWS operating margin exceeds 38%?

AWS's Trainium/Inferentia price-performance advantage drives enough inference migration off merchant GPUs to show up as a disclosed workload share or an expanded AWS operating margin.