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AI financing · Thesis 85 · settles Dec 14 · 52 days · rung 1/3

Will Oracle's interest expense reach 7 percent or more of its revenue for the quarter ending November 30 2026?

How it settles

Yes if interest expense divided by revenue for the quarter ended November 30 2026 is 7 percent or more, per Oracle's 10-Q or 10-K on SEC EDGAR. SEC EDGAR, XBRL company facts of Oracle (Forms 10-Q and 10-K)

The exact question and the full rule

Did the interest expense of Oracle for the quarter ended November 30, 2026 come to at or above 7.0% of its revenue?

Divide the interest expense by the revenue that Oracle reports for the quarter ended November 30, 2026 in its 10-Q or 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR. The answer is yes if the ratio is at or above 7.0%; no if it is below 7.0%.

If the source is late or silent: If Oracle has not filed by January 18, 2027, or a filing restates a period the rule reads, the test is inconclusive, and the Result says what was read and what was missing.

If no

Combined lease obligations stay under $800bn

No: revenue growth outpaces new debt costs, keeping interest expense under 7 percent of that quarter's revenue.

If yes

Off-balance-sheet vehicles push lease obligations past $800bn

Yes: heavy borrowing for data center buildout keeps interest costs at 7 percent or more of that quarter's revenue.

50%
NoYes

No position, no money. The crowd, the Call and the machines appear after you lock your number.

The case · 3 people · 2 minutes
Combined lease obligations stay under $800bn1 people argue noOff-balance-sheet vehicles push lease obligations past $800bn2 people argue yes
Stronger if no · 1 people

Combined lease obligations stay under $800bn

JunkBondInvestorApr 10

Management intends to establish special purpose vehicles backed by fully executed ESAs to raise non-recourse debt for project-level capex, keeping approximately $3.2bn of the $4.5bn buildout capex off the parent balance sheet. This structure is…

Stronger if yes · 2 people

Off-balance-sheet vehicles push lease obligations past $800bn

Prof G MarketsAug 3

Off-balance-sheet AI leverage routed to household savings

What would change the Call
  • The interest expense and revenue figures Oracle reports for the quarter ended November 30 2026 would move the call.
The Call · Thesis 85

The house has not taken a side.

The dossier · 5 minutes
The machines' reasons

2 models ran this one. Their numbers and reasons appear after you lock yours.

The thesis

Will Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta and Oracle's combined disclosed lease obligations exceed $800bn in filings for fiscal periods ending in 2026?

Hyperscalers are shifting data center capacity off their own balance sheets into leases and third-party SPVs, so disclosed lease commitments (and the not-yet-commenced line, the clearest marker of hidden buildout leverage) will grow faster than reported capex and cross $800bn.