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Apps & agents · Thesis 97 · settles Dec 2 · 40 days · rung 3/3

Will C3.ai's operating cash flow be at least 8 percent of its revenue for the quarter ended October 31 2026?

How it settles

Yes if net cash from operating activities divided by revenue, both as reported by C3.ai in its 10-Q or 10-K on SEC EDGAR for the quarter ended October 31 2026, is at or above 8.0 percent. SEC EDGAR, XBRL company facts of C3.ai (Forms 10-Q and 10-K)

The exact question and the full rule

Did the net cash from operating activities of C3.ai for the quarter ended October 31, 2026 come to at or above 8.0% of its revenue?

Divide the net cash from operating activities by the revenue that C3.ai reports for the quarter ended October 31, 2026 in its 10-Q or 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR. The answer is yes if the ratio is at or above 8.0%; no if it is below 8.0%.

If the source is late or silent: If C3.ai has not filed by December 17, 2026, or a filing restates a period the rule reads, the test is inconclusive, and the Result says what was read and what was missing.

If no

Outcome-based pricing replaces seats

Yes: operating cash flow climbs to 8 percent or more of revenue, a notable improvement from recent prints.

If yes

The case against it

No: operating cash flow stays below 8 percent of revenue, as it has in most recent quarters.

50%
NoYes

No position, no money. The crowd, the Call and the machines appear after you lock your number.

The case · 6 people · 2 minutes
Outcome-based pricing replaces seats4 people argue noThe case against it2 people argue yes
Stronger if no · 4 people

Outcome-based pricing replaces seats

Michael BurryMay 15

Seat compression versus agent monetization race

Stronger if yes · 2 people

The case against it

KrisFeb 27

Enterprise software companies with embedded platforms can switch pricing models once underlying usage volume justifies it, capturing exponentially more revenue per customer as AI agents drive activity.

The Call's side, the strongest voice against it and what would change it appear after you lock your number.

Open the dossierThe thesis
The dossier · 5 minutes
The machines' reasons

2 models ran this one. Their numbers and reasons appear after you lock yours.

The thesis

Will at least one major per-employee-per-month or per-seat SaaS vendor report a year-over-year decline in total paid seats or customer headcount-based billings in a public filing or earnings release before 2027-12-31?

Agentic automation shrinks the customer seat base enough that a major per-seat vendor publicly reports declining seats or PEPM-linked billings, validating the seat-loss mechanism behind outcome pricing.