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Adoption · Thesis 118 · settles Dec 18 · 56 days

Will Paychex's operating income hit at least 38.5 percent of revenue for the quarter ended November 30, 2026?

How it settles

Divide operating income by revenue that Paychex reports for the quarter ended November 30 2026 in its 10-Q or 10-K on SEC EDGAR. Yes if the ratio is at or above 38.5 percent, no if below. SEC EDGAR, XBRL company facts of Paychex (Forms 10-Q and 10-K)

The exact question and the full rule

Did the operating income of Paychex for the quarter ended November 30, 2026 come to at or above 38.5% of its revenue?

Divide the operating income by the revenue that Paychex reports for the quarter ended November 30, 2026 in its 10-Q or 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR. The answer is yes if the ratio is at or above 38.5%; no if it is below 38.5%.

If the source is late or silent: If Paychex has not filed by January 18, 2027, or a filing restates a period the rule reads, the test is inconclusive, and the Result says what was read and what was missing.

If no

Labor-intensive IT services revenue turns negative

Yes: cost discipline and steady pricing keep operating income at 38.5 percent or more of revenue.

If yes

Labor-intensive IT services revenue holds up

No: rising costs or softer pricing keep operating income below 38.5 percent of revenue.

50%
NoYes

No position, no money. The crowd, the Call and the machines appear after you lock your number.

The case · 7 people · 2 minutes
Labor-intensive IT services revenue turns negative4 people argue noLabor-intensive IT services revenue holds up3 people argue yes
Stronger if no · 4 people

Labor-intensive IT services revenue turns negative

Moses SternsteinAug 7

Market dislocations from technology disruption historically force service firms to evolve their offerings; those that adapt thrive while those that do not languish, requiring years of investment in reskilling and business model transformation…

Stronger if yes · 3 people

Labor-intensive IT services revenue holds up

Hayden CapitalAug 27

Even transformational technologies face resistance from existing networks, switching costs, and organizational habits. Companies and individuals continue established purchasing and tool-usage patterns longer than technologists expect, slowing the…

What would change the Call
  • The operating income and revenue figures Paychex reports in its 10-Q or 10-K for this quarter would move the call.
The Call · Thesis 118 · Labor-intensive IT services revenue holds up

The house leans to "Labor-intensive IT services revenue holds up".

The dossier · 5 minutes
The machines' reasons

2 models ran this one. Their numbers and reasons appear after you lock yours.

The thesis

Will at least two of Accenture, Cognizant, Infosys, Globant and EPAM report negative year-over-year constant-currency revenue growth in any single reported quarter ending on or before 2027-09-30?

AI-assisted delivery and renewal repricing deflate the billable unit fast enough that major effort-billed IT services firms post outright organic revenue declines, not just deceleration.