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Memory & storage · Thesis 02 · settles Oct 29 · 6 days · rung 3/3

Will Sandisk's operating cash flow hit at least 84 percent of revenue for the quarter ended October 2, 2026?

How it settles

Divide net cash from operating activities by revenue in Sandisk's 10-Q or 10-K for the quarter ended October 2, 2026, on SEC EDGAR. Yes if the result is 84.0 percent or more, no if it is below 84.0 percent. SEC EDGAR, XBRL company facts of Sandisk (Forms 10-Q and 10-K)

The exact question and the full rule

Did the net cash from operating activities of Sandisk for the quarter ended October 2, 2026 come to at or above 84.0% of its revenue?

Divide the net cash from operating activities by the revenue that Sandisk reports for the quarter ended October 2, 2026 in its 10-Q or 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR. The answer is yes if the ratio is at or above 84.0%; no if it is below 84.0%.

If the source is late or silent: If Sandisk has not filed by November 18, 2026, or a filing restates a period the rule reads, the test is inconclusive, and the Result says what was read and what was missing.

If no

Supply catches up

No: supply catches up or costs bite, holding operating cash flow below 84 percent of revenue, as seen in recent quarters.

If yes

Scarcity holds through 2027

Yes: memory scarcity keeps prices and margins high, pushing operating cash flow to 84 percent or more of revenue.

50%
NoYes

No position, no money. The crowd, the Call and the machines appear after you lock your number.

The case · 8 people · 2 minutes
Supply catches up2 people argue noScarcity holds through 20276 people argue yes
Stronger if no · 2 people

Supply catches up

Andrew WalkerMay 31

When memory and semiconductor prices rise significantly above cost due to supply constraints, economic incentives drive multiple paths to increased supply, eventually breaking the cycle and reducing margins.

Stronger if yes · 6 people

Scarcity holds through 2027

Tae KimAug 5

The demand-supply imbalance in HBM memory creates a classical Economics 101 scenario where constrained supply meets accelerating demand. Customers requesting 5x–6x more capacity than current expansion plans can supply creates a pricing lever that…

What would change the Call
  • TSMC's own fourth quarter guidance, given at its October results, would move the expected growth rate.
The Call · Thesis 02 · Supply catches up

The house leans to "Supply catches up".

The dossier · 5 minutes
The machines' reasons

3 models ran this one. Their numbers and reasons appear after you lock yours.

The thesis

Will memory makers keep earning scarcity profits from AI demand through 2027?

Micron's revenue for the quarter ended September 3, 2026 was $54.2 billion, against $11.3 billion a year earlier. The tests read Micron's next quarter and Korea's chip exports, most of which are memory.