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POWER · T04

Will the Henry Hub front-month natural gas settlement price close above $7.00/MMBtu on any trading day before 2027-12-31?

Combined AI datacenter gas burn, LNG export ramp, and slowing shale supply growth push Henry Hub above $7 at least once, showing the gas bridge is supply-constrained rather than cheap.

Questions 6Open 6Call held 0Call missed 0

Gas is the bridge fuel for AI load

Incremental power-sector gas demand from datacenters stacks on top of record LNG feedgas while associated-gas growth from maturing shale plays decelerates. Storage draws deepen and the Henry Hub curve spikes above $7, raising the cost of the gas bridge and inviting substitution or load curtailment.

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Henry Hub stays under $7 through 2027

Fast-build gas-fired generation is the industry's answer to exponential AI power demand, and that buildout incentive supports continued drilling and production growth that can keep pace with power-sector and LNG demand. On this view, dry gas and associated gas supply expand enough that Henry Hub stays below $7 through 2027 despite rising AI and export demand. This side would be shown right if drilling activity and pipeline takeaway capacity expand enough that storage stays near historical norms.

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The questions

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    Will Constellation Energy's equipment purchases for the quarter ending September 30, 2026 be at or above 20.0% of its revenue?

  2. Settles Nov 9open

    Will Constellation Energy's equipment purchases for the quarter ending September 30, 2026 be at or above 22.5% of its revenue?

  3. Settles Nov 9open

    Will Constellation Energy's property and equipment purchases hit 25 percent of its revenue in Q3 2026?

  4. Settles Nov 6open

    Will Vistra's long-term debt reach 410 percent of its quarterly revenue in Q3 2026?

  5. Settles Nov 6open

    Will Vistra's long-term debt reach 435 percent of its quarterly revenue in Q3 2026?

  6. Settles Nov 6open

    Will Vistra's long-term debt reach 455 percent of its quarterly revenue in Q3 2026?

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