SEMI · T02
Does the concentration of leading-edge chipmaking give TSMC pricing power over its customers?
TSMC's revenue for September 2026 was NT$511.9 billion, 54.6% above September 2025. The tests read its monthly revenue as the Taiwan Stock Exchange publishes it.
Questions 8Open 8Call held 0Call missed 0
The foundry sets the price
A single supplier holds nearly all economically viable leading-advantage (N3/N2) capacity, so designers bid against each other for allocation and accept annual price increases plus capacity prepayments. Foundry gross margin stays at or above 60% despite N2 ramp dilution, overseas fab drag, and FX, while customer prepayments and long-term agreements grow.
3 voices
Customers limit the foundry's reach
TSMC's pricing power is bounded because its customers can shift some volume to alternative processes, negotiate against each other's roadmaps, or absorb cost pressure elsewhere in their own margins rather than accept every increase. A parallel case shows the limit of pure process leadership as leverage: upstream, ASML's lithography monopoly concentrates pricing power at the equipment layer, leaving room for customers to contest how much of that leverage TSMC itself can pass through. This side holds that customer pushback, not unchecked supplier leverage, sets the ceiling on what TSMC can charge.
1 voice
The questions
Settles Nov 10open
Will TSMC's October 2026 revenue be at least 30 percent higher than October 2025?
Settles Nov 10open
Will TSMC's October 2026 revenue be at least 40 percent higher than October 2025?
Settles Nov 10open
Will TSMC's October 2026 revenue be at least 50 percent higher than October 2025?
Settles Dec 10open
Will TSMC's November 2026 revenue be at least 40 percent higher than November 2025?
Settles Jan 11open
Will TSMC's December 2026 revenue be at least 30 percent higher than December 2025?
Settles Nov 10open
Will TSMC's October 2026 revenue be at least 33 percent higher than October 2025?
Settles Nov 10open
Did TSMC's revenue for October 2026 grow at least 40 percent from October 2025?
Settles Nov 10open
Will TSMC's October 2026 revenue be at least 48 percent higher than October 2025?